What’s causing the devastating flooding in the Midwest? (2024)

ST. LOUIS (AP) — Hundreds of Iowa residents have needed rescue from record-setting flooding that has swamped parts of the state, covering buildings up to their rooftops, shutting down major roads, and disrupting basic services like electricity and drinking water.

Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds said water in some areas rose above records from 1993, a flood many in the Midwest remember as the worst of their lives. The floods have hit parts of Iowa, South Dakota, Nebraska and Minnesota.

The water was so powerful that it pulled down a train bridge connecting North Sioux City, South Dakota, with Sioux City, Iowa. On the Blue Earth River in Minnesota, water forced its way around the Rapidan Dam and local officials warned of its possible failure.

What’s causing the devastating flooding in the Midwest? (1)

The water is expected to be at its highest early this week — in some places it has already passed — and then the crest of the river will move south, eventually into the Missouri and Mississippi rivers.

“Businesses are shuttered, main streets have been impacted. Hospitals, nursing homes and other care facilities were evacuated,” Reynolds said at a news conference over the weekend, calling the expected damage “staggering.”

It’s hot, too, making dangerous conditions worse.

A look at why waters are so high in the Midwest:

What is causing the bad flooding?

Torrential rains. The hardest hit areas were south of Sioux Falls, South Dakota. The city’s airport received more than 7 inches (17.8 centimeters). More than 11 inches (28 centimeters) fell in Rock Rapids, Iowa, a roughly 45-minute drive to the east.

“It has been just round after round through the month. And then recently, we’ve had a few big rounds,” said Joseph Bauers, a meteorologist with AccuWeather.

Hot air in the Northeast has directed the path of storms through the Midwest, according to Shel Winkley, a weather and climate expert with Climate Central, a nonprofit focused on climate science.

“With that big high-pressure system over the East, that kind of helps steer these and slow these systems down specifically to where we’ve seen the flooding over the past few days,” he said.

What’s causing the devastating flooding in the Midwest? (2)

And the most recent rounds of heavy rain have fallen on wet ground. When soil is wet, it can’t absorb as much new moisture, so more of the rain runs into rivers and streams.

Flooding is a big change for a part of the country that has endured drought in recent years. Rain started to hit the region in late April and early May, according to National Weather Service hydrologist Jeff Zogg.

Then the really heavy storms came Friday and Saturday.

“There were some cases where rainfall was falling at a rate of over 1 inch in 15 minutes, for example,” Zogg said. “And that’s because there’s just so much moisture in the atmosphere that there is a lot of moisture for the thunderstorms to wring out.”

What is a crest and why do they matter?

A crest is the highest level a river reaches before receding, and they are tracked closely by forecasters. It’s essential to know when a crest is expected to hit, how bad it will be and how fast it is traveling down river.

Because recent rains dumped extraordinary amounts of water on the region, rivers rose quickly, and crests are expected soon or have already occurred in some places.

Sioux City Fire Marshal Mark Aesoph told reporters that the Big Sioux River stabilized Monday morning at around 45 feet, over 7 feet higher than the previous record.

“It’s just been difficult to predict what’s going to happen when levels are this high when we have no history with it,” he said.

South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem said other rivers, the James and Vermillion, are expected to crest Wednesday. The flooding is “more spread out” than expected, which is helping lessen flooding in some inhabited areas. It will “bump up” Missouri River levels, but not as much as anticipated, she said at a news conference Monday.

What’s causing the devastating flooding in the Midwest? (3)

“The later and the lower crest levels gave us some time that we need to upgrade some levees that we needed to get done,” Noem said.

While the heaviest rain has been concentrated in northwestern Iowa, parts of northeastern Iowa will see up to an inch on Monday, said Zogg. The rainfall across northern Iowa will take “several days” to make its way through the state. He said the location of the rain was particularly bad for Iowa because it has to drain through the state’s entire river system before exiting.

Since all that water eventually drains into the Missouri and Mississippi rivers, Zogg said, flooding is expected in those big rivers, as well.

And there is the possibility for more rain later this week.

“When it comes to the rainfall and river response, location and timing and the amount” will determine how the river responds and whether floods will get worse, he said.

Is this related to climate change?

In the Midwest, flooding isn’t new. Nor is heavy rain in June. And linking any particular big rainstorm to climate change is difficult, Winkley said.

But, as greenhouse gases warm the planet, the hotter atmosphere can hold more water. That means big rainstorms can pour down even more water, overwhelming sewer systems and flooding downtowns. Plus, bad floods are growing more common, he said.

“The extremes are becoming more extreme,” said Winkley.

___

Associated Press reporters Hannah Fingerhut in Des Moines, Iowa, and Margery A. Beck in Omaha, Nebraska, contributed to this report.

___

The Associated Press receives support from the Walton Family Foundation for coverage of water and environmental policy. The AP is solely responsible for all content. For all of AP’s environmental coverage, visit https://apnews.com/hub/climate-and-environment

What’s causing the devastating flooding in the Midwest? (2024)

FAQs

What’s causing the devastating flooding in the Midwest? ›

But, as greenhouse gases warm the planet, the hotter atmosphere can hold more water. That means big rainstorms can pour down even more water, overwhelming sewer systems and flooding downtowns. Plus, bad floods are growing more common, he said. “The extremes are becoming more extreme,” said Winkley.

What is causing the Iowa floods? ›

According to the Associated Press: The recent surge in Midwest flooding can be attributed to relentless torrential rains. Sioux Falls, South Dakota, received a staggering 7 inches of rain over just three days, with neighboring areas like Canton seeing an unprecedented 18 inches.

What caused the Missouri River flooding in 2024? ›

This flooding event, which caused damage across multiple states, was primarily triggered when an unusual weather pattern brought torrential rainfall to southeastern South Dakota, northwest Iowa, and north central Nebraska.

Why has the Midwest been getting so much rain? ›

Heavy downpours are already common, but climate change is expected to intensify storms and lead to greater precipitation across the entire region during this century. Annual precipitation has already risen by as much as 20% in some areas.

What caused the flooding in Iowa in 2024? ›

May 21, 2024 Tornadoes, Winds and Flash Flooding

During the afternoon hours of May 21st, 2024, a cold front produced a line of strong thunderstorms which produced multiple strong tornadoes throughout the state, including one which led to significant damage in the town of Greenfield, IA, among other locations.

Why is there so much flooding in the Midwest? ›

But, as greenhouse gases warm the planet, the hotter atmosphere can hold more water. That means big rainstorms can pour down even more water, overwhelming sewer systems and flooding downtowns. Plus, bad floods are growing more common, he said.

Why are there so many floods right now? ›

As the atmosphere warms, there is more evaporation and more water available for rain, which contributes to changing weather patterns and flood risks. Extreme rain events are increasing in duration, intensity, and frequency, which causes more urban and flash floods, and more flooding from overflowing rivers and streams.

What are 3 cities that could flood more often due to climate change? ›

Large cities surrounded by water -- such as Boston, New Orleans and San Francisco -- will be among the regions that could experience flooding in the near future due to land elevation changes combined with sea level rise -- about 4 millimeters per year, said Ohenhen, who authored the paper.

What is causing Mississippi flooding? ›

The Mississippi River will continue to rise through the next 1 to 2 weeks as runoff from snowmelt upstream in combination with rainfall runoff moves through the river system.

What state is getting the most rain? ›

While Hawaii is the rainiest state in the U.S., precipitation totals vary greatly throughout the state. The windward slopes of mountains can see upwards of 300 inches of rain per year, while the leeward coastal areas may only receive around 20 inches of annual rainfall.

Why is the South getting so much rain? ›

Mike Wofford, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service Los Angeles office, said a combination of factors is contributing to the dramatic rain accumulation, including a long stretch of moisture over the Pacific Ocean, the topography of area mountains and the storm remaining stationary over Los Angeles.

Why is the Midwest so stormy? ›

Thunderstorms are a common occurrence across the Midwest during late spring, summer, and early fall, The months of greatest activity are May through July when warm and moist maritime tropical airmasses collide with cooler and drier continental polar airmasses over the Midwest (figure 1).

What states will be flooded in 2050? ›

32 U.S. cities, including New York and San Francisco, are sinking into the ocean and face major flood risks by 2050, new study reveals. Rising sea levels and sinking land threaten 32 U.S. coastal cities with worsening floods, including New York, Boston, San Francisco, New Orleans and Miami.

What is causing Missouri river flooding? ›

Heavy or excessive rainfall or snowmelt can cause water levels to rise over the tops of river and stream banks. Dam and flood-levee failures can send a sudden surge of water downstream, flooding areas near rivers.

What places will be flooded by 2030? ›

15 Coastal Cities at Risk of Submersion by 2030
  • Miami, USA. Miami, known for its sun-kissed beaches and vibrant culture, is already feeling the impacts of rising sea levels. ...
  • Bangkok, Thailand. ...
  • 3 Amsterdam, Netherlands. ...
  • Basra, Iraq. ...
  • Georgetown, Guyana. ...
  • Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam. ...
  • Kolkata, India. ...
  • New Orleans, USA.
Aug 6, 2023

What is the main reason for the flood? ›

Heavy rainfall. Ocean waves coming on shore, such as a storm surge. Melting snow and ice, as well as ice jams. Dams or levees breaking.

Why the flood is happening? ›

Flooding is an overflowing of water onto land that is normally dry. Floods can happen during heavy rains, when ocean waves come on shore, when snow melts quickly, or when dams or levees break.

Why is Iowa getting so much rain? ›

Iowa's annual precipitation has increased since the beginning of the 20th Century. This is due in large part to warmer waters in the Gulf of Mexico and the fact that warmer air can hold more moisture.

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